Nilofar expected to make landfall near Naliya (Kutch) ... !!

Cyclonic storm ‘Nilofar’ is expected to make landfall near Naliya in Kutch district of Gujarat on the morning of November 1 but with a reduced intensity, as per India Meteorological Department (IMD) 

The system, which turned into a very severe cyclonic storm on Monday, lay about 080 km southwest of Naliya this afternoon and 1,110 kms southwest of Karachi in Pakistan. It would move north northwestwards during next 12 hours and then gradually recurve northeastwards and cross North Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan coast around Naliya by November 1 forenoon

However, as the system would come closer to Gujarat coast, it would weaken and cross the coast as a cyclonic storm,.

Under the influence of this system, heavy to very heavy rainfall has been forecast along the coastal districts of Saurashtra and Kutch from October 31 night. Squally winds of speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would commence along and off Gujarat coast from October 31 night and would become 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph at the time of landfall.
Posted by : Rajabhaskar Narayana 

Clouding bands reached #S-Zone of mithi .... !!

#mithi - 10:00 pm, Finally clouding bands reached S-zone, Drizzle possible late evening,#Nilofar..!!  http://ow.ly/i/7nVjb 

W.D effect to N,Pakistan .. !!

A weak W.D circulation pop over N-central Pakistan , and giving T-Showets over N-Pakistan , Kashmir and N,Punjab ..! http://ow.ly/i/7nmfX
Present weak level- circulation expected to dirft E,N-E wards and much weaker to reach N,W-N india ..!! http://ow.ly/i/7nmiP

6:30 pm, T-Showers seen over N,Pakistan,Kashmir,Gilgit-Baltistan, and adjoining Kpk ...http://ow.ly/i/7nmkj
Cloudly condition's ahead for Mush coastal belt of Pakistan due to TC Nilofar .
Partly to cloudly weather for N,central sindh and some of Balochistan ... http://ow.ly/i/7nmm6

Intensity pattern of Cyclone "Nilofar during past 24hrs & W.D effect to Lahore ..

Here is the cyclone Nilofar's intensity pattern so far ...! http://ow.ly/i/7njoM
" during past 24hrs, weakening and strengthening seen " ..

‪#‎Mithi‬ - 5:45 pm, S,wertern sky is fully cloudly since 2:00 pm .!! http://ow.ly/i/7njqo

 3:30 pm - Lahore today afternoon during rain , Due to W.D effect ... !! http://ow.ly/i/7nkpC

RT@sanjeevnaique : Sun has just appeared here in #Pune with temp. hovering around 26 deg cent with light cool breeze as no sign of rain.!!

Tropical Cyclone Neelofar Tracker ....

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
            (1) AT 251200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (FOUR) WAS LOCATED NEAR
      13.4N 62.5E, APPROXIMATELY 471 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND,
      AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
      MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING
      TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
            (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N
      61.1E, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA.
      1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS...
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.http://ow.ly/i/7lKVg 

LOW PRESSURE IN ARABIAN SEA TURNS INTO DEPRESSION ..

The low pressure system that is prevalent in Arabian Sea has now intensified into a depression. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system is expected to further intensify into a deep depression in next 24 hours and further into a cyclonic storm.

At present, the system is over west central and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea and is approximately 1400 km southwest of Mumbai.

As a result entire Maharashtra will witness light to moderate rainfall during the next 24-48 hours. As per Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the maximum temperature will drop and hover around 30°C. http://ow.ly/i/7lxD3

Further, the system is likely to move in west northwest direction and reach southern parts of Oman. After reaching Oman coast, the system may re-curve in northerly to northwesterly direction due to the upper level diversion. Post this, it will reach somewhere between Karachi, Pakistan and Kandla coast in Gujarat by October 29.

This system then might bring rainfall over most parts of Gujarat, western parts of Rajasthan, south Punjab and even south Haryana by October 30.

Earlier this month on October 12, a severe cyclonic storm Hudhud had battered the east coast of India. It had made landfall in Visakhapatnam with maximum sustained winds of upto 190 kmph. Hudhud had triggered massive rainfall in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha ..