61.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 61.1E, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A FAIRLY BROAD AREA OF ORGANIZING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A
WIDE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS SLOWLY BECOMING
BETTER DEFINED. A 241705Z AMSU-B AND 241837Z TRMM (PARTIAL)
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK AND FRAGMENTED BANDING SHOWING
CONSOLIDATION ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA WITH SOME
CONVECTION AROUND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE LLCC. ADDITIONALLY, A
241758Z PARTIAL ASCAT SHOWS SOME 25 KNOT WIND BARBS ALONG THE
EXTREME NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER NORTHERN INDIA. MULTIPLE GLOBAL MODELS ARE DEVELOPING
THIS DISTURBANCE INTO A BROAD TROPICAL SYSTEM AFFECTING THE
NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 242200) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
Friday, October 24, 2014
High Chance of Tropical Cyclone formation in the next 24 hrs in Arabain sea ..
Labels:
2014 Rains..,
Arabian Sea,
Cloudly,
Cyclone,
Mithi
90-A : Still LOW ; disorganized and tracked W-N-W ... !!
Labels:
Arabian Sea,
Cyclone,
Goa,
Gujrat,
India.,
Karachi,
Karachi 2014 Rains,
Neelofar,
Oman
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)