High Chance of Tropical Cyclone formation in the next 24 hrs in Arabain sea ..

61.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 61.1E, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-
      SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
      DEPICTS A FAIRLY BROAD AREA OF ORGANIZING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A
      WIDE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS SLOWLY BECOMING
      BETTER DEFINED. A 241705Z AMSU-B AND 241837Z TRMM (PARTIAL)
      MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK AND FRAGMENTED BANDING SHOWING
      CONSOLIDATION ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA WITH SOME
      CONVECTION AROUND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE LLCC. ADDITIONALLY, A
      241758Z PARTIAL ASCAT SHOWS SOME 25 KNOT WIND BARBS ALONG THE
      EXTREME NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
      FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
      SHEAR OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY UPPER LEVEL
      TROUGHING OVER NORTHERN INDIA. MULTIPLE GLOBAL MODELS ARE DEVELOPING
      THIS DISTURBANCE INTO A BROAD TROPICAL SYSTEM AFFECTING THE
      NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
      SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
      PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
      DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
      HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 242200) FOR
      FURTHER DETAILS.