#Cyclone Nanauk Update

Cyclone ‘Nanauk’ has formed in the Arabian sea

First tropical cyclone in the region in 2014

Cyclone ‘Nanauk’ is now 878 km south of Karachi while 660 km southwest of Mumbai and 990 km southeast of Masirah, Oman. It has started moving in a WNW direction towards Oman. In the next 12 to 24 hours it is expected to further intensify into a category-1 hurricane. On June 14 late/June 15, it may weaken significantly before hitting central Oman as a low pressure or a depression. Following is the current status of the storm;

• Winds: 65 mph to 80 mph.
• Movement: WNW
• Pressure: 992 mbar
• UNDER THREAT: Oman

Under the influence of a tropical cyclone, chances are maintained at ‘high’ by PWP for the pre-monsoon drizzle/light rain in coastal including Karachi and adjoining south-eastern Sindh around June 14/15 (with -2, +2 day error) as few stray thunderclouds may form over coastal Pakistan. On June 14/June 15, chances of light rain in Gwadar district .h

By (PWP) -------> See More = http://pakistanweatherportal.com/monsoon-of-pakistan/

#Cyclone "Nanauk" Update

CYCLONE 'NANAUK' Current Status and Intensity Update: 
Soon it will become a full blown Cat-1 Cyclone. 
878 Km Away From Karachi
Pressure is Now 986
Winds 90+/Km/Hr ..

7:00 pm Visible shows that,02A "Nanauk" Cyclone over E,central Arabian-Sea ..!

Yesterday Analysis shows 95A LOW-Pressure over E,central-Arabian-Sea shows that it's has intensified into a Deep Depression becoming a "Nanauk" Cyclone ..!!
Arabian-Sea cyclone intensified to dirft N,W-N derection ..
Satellate shows , Arabian-Sea cyclone 02A slowly taking shape in E,central Arabian-Sea near #Goa coast ..

JTWC Report
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TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASINGLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
WITH FLARING CENTRAL CONVECTION AND BROKEN CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG 
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. A 092236Z SSMI 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
INDICATES INCREASED CONSOLIDATION IN THE LOW LEVELS AS THE SYSTEM 
HAS BECOME MORE TIGHTLY WRAPPED WHILE THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF 
SYSTEM HAS REMAINED MARGINAL OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE INITIAL 
POSITION IS BASED UPON THE AFOREMENTIONED SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH 
FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS 
BASED UPON THE TIGHTLY WRAPPED STRUCTURE SEEN IN THE IMAGERY AS 
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW REMAIN AT 30 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) 
AXIS WITH MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) LEVELS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(VWS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC 02A IS CURRENTLY TRACKING 
NORTH TO NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID TO DEEP-LAYER REFLECTION OF A 
NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED STR STEERING RIDGE LOCATED OVER INDIA. THE 
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO TURN WESTWARD IN THE NEXT DAY AS 
ANOTHER STR BUILDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT 
STEERING INFLUENCE. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TAU 
72, REACHING 70 KNOTS, AS EXTREMELY CONDUCIVE SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES AND GOOD OUTFLOW CONTINUE. INCREASING VWS AFTER TAU 72, 
WILL START A SLOW WEAKENING PROCESS AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO APPROACH 
OMAN. LIMITED NUMERIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE 
WESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN TRANSLATIONAL TRACK 
SPEED. BASED ON THIS, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 12 FEET ..

@Iam Kanal / #kochi #weather !!

RT @IamKanal Thunderstorming Rain in #Kochi.. This monsoon seems a blockbuster.. @weatherofpak

#india - Monsoon 2014 / Twitter

VagloG

5:21pm via Twitter for Android
Welcome #Monsoon2014 to #Goa.
ranjeet_pd

5:12pm via Twitter for Android

Not far from the first rains!!! #Mumbai #Monsoon2014.!!
anurag_gk

4:48pm via Twitter for Android

Finally its rains after a day full on dark clouds dominating the sky
#Monsoon2014 #NaviMumbai ....

SupreetSays

4:39pm via TweetDeck

& it starts to #rain #Jabalpur #Monsoon2014 ..

@Gurjar

7:19pm via Twitter Web Client

 #NANAUK ARABIAN SEA CYCLONE ALERT JUNE 7, 2014 1400 HRS GMT tinyurl.com/pmvqwfr    pic.twitter.com/OecurSzmEf ...

TC in #Arabian Sea in next 24 hrs !!

Muhammad Zohair‎Pakistan Weather Discussion(PWD) 
2 hrs 
A LOw Pressure are might Form during next 24 Hours 
and Hit Oman as a Deep Depression on 11th June 
According to GFS.Current Condition of Wind Shear over ARABIAN SEA is not supportive for any formation of organised Tropical System ..!according to latest condition it may boost the Moonsoon over ARB branches (might make monsoon trough axis towards South till mid of July) ...Drizzle from locals with gusty wind could be expected after 10th June over Karachi .
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