Nilofar Dies Out : Next Cyclone to be Named "Priya " ... !!

The intensity of cyclone Nilofar has decreased drastically but it still might cause gusty wind and heavy rainfall in the coastal areas of Pakistan. 

The cyclone that started developing in the northwest Arabian Sea five to seven days ago attracted a lot of attention because of its feminine name and it seems the trend will continue for the next cyclones. 

As part of the WMO body, each country is asked to give eight names for the cyclones in the future. These names are then given to the storms, as they hit shores, from six alphabetically arranged lists on rotation. Interestingly enough, all names except one submitted by Pakistan, are feminine names like Nargis, Vardah, Nilam, Bulbul, Titli and the current one Nilofar.

According to World Meteorological Department, the next storm would be named ‘Priya’ by Sri lanka.

#mithi - 1:30 pm, Nimbostratues clouds seen here today , Rain possible arround 4 pm ... !! http://ow.ly/i/7pHdK 

Drizzle continues till now since 8 am with gapes in Mithi .. !!

#Mithi - 5:45 pm, Drizzle is continues till now since 8 am with gapes ... !!  http://ow.ly/i/7p0tx 

Drizzling here in Mithi since 8 am .. !!

#Mithi - 1:15pm, Drizzling here since 8 am , Now Big drops falling here, Rain possible before 9pm ..!! http://ow.ly/i/7oP6H 

Getting Darker here now .. !!

#mithi - 5:51pm, another view of today evening , getting Darker now , drizzling in S-side .. http://ow.ly/i/7obTn

"Nilofar sending A High level Clouds "

#mithi - 12:45 pm, #Nilofar is sending a high level clouds , dark clouds will cover's the city in next 1 hour . 

Nilofar expected to make landfall near Naliya (Kutch) ... !!

Cyclonic storm ‘Nilofar’ is expected to make landfall near Naliya in Kutch district of Gujarat on the morning of November 1 but with a reduced intensity, as per India Meteorological Department (IMD) 

The system, which turned into a very severe cyclonic storm on Monday, lay about 080 km southwest of Naliya this afternoon and 1,110 kms southwest of Karachi in Pakistan. It would move north northwestwards during next 12 hours and then gradually recurve northeastwards and cross North Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan coast around Naliya by November 1 forenoon

However, as the system would come closer to Gujarat coast, it would weaken and cross the coast as a cyclonic storm,.

Under the influence of this system, heavy to very heavy rainfall has been forecast along the coastal districts of Saurashtra and Kutch from October 31 night. Squally winds of speed 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph would commence along and off Gujarat coast from October 31 night and would become 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph at the time of landfall.
Posted by : Rajabhaskar Narayana 

Clouding bands reached #S-Zone of mithi .... !!

#mithi - 10:00 pm, Finally clouding bands reached S-zone, Drizzle possible late evening,#Nilofar..!!  http://ow.ly/i/7nVjb 

W.D effect to N,Pakistan .. !!

A weak W.D circulation pop over N-central Pakistan , and giving T-Showets over N-Pakistan , Kashmir and N,Punjab ..! http://ow.ly/i/7nmfX
Present weak level- circulation expected to dirft E,N-E wards and much weaker to reach N,W-N india ..!! http://ow.ly/i/7nmiP

6:30 pm, T-Showers seen over N,Pakistan,Kashmir,Gilgit-Baltistan, and adjoining Kpk ...http://ow.ly/i/7nmkj
Cloudly condition's ahead for Mush coastal belt of Pakistan due to TC Nilofar .
Partly to cloudly weather for N,central sindh and some of Balochistan ... http://ow.ly/i/7nmm6

Intensity pattern of Cyclone "Nilofar during past 24hrs & W.D effect to Lahore ..

Here is the cyclone Nilofar's intensity pattern so far ...! http://ow.ly/i/7njoM
" during past 24hrs, weakening and strengthening seen " ..

‪#‎Mithi‬ - 5:45 pm, S,wertern sky is fully cloudly since 2:00 pm .!! http://ow.ly/i/7njqo

 3:30 pm - Lahore today afternoon during rain , Due to W.D effect ... !! http://ow.ly/i/7nkpC

RT@sanjeevnaique : Sun has just appeared here in #Pune with temp. hovering around 26 deg cent with light cool breeze as no sign of rain.!!

Tropical Cyclone Neelofar Tracker ....

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
            (1) AT 251200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (FOUR) WAS LOCATED NEAR
      13.4N 62.5E, APPROXIMATELY 471 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MASIRAH ISLAND,
      AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
      MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING
      TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
            (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N
      61.1E, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA.
      1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS...
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.http://ow.ly/i/7lKVg 

LOW PRESSURE IN ARABIAN SEA TURNS INTO DEPRESSION ..

The low pressure system that is prevalent in Arabian Sea has now intensified into a depression. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system is expected to further intensify into a deep depression in next 24 hours and further into a cyclonic storm.

At present, the system is over west central and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea and is approximately 1400 km southwest of Mumbai.

As a result entire Maharashtra will witness light to moderate rainfall during the next 24-48 hours. As per Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the maximum temperature will drop and hover around 30°C. http://ow.ly/i/7lxD3

Further, the system is likely to move in west northwest direction and reach southern parts of Oman. After reaching Oman coast, the system may re-curve in northerly to northwesterly direction due to the upper level diversion. Post this, it will reach somewhere between Karachi, Pakistan and Kandla coast in Gujarat by October 29.

This system then might bring rainfall over most parts of Gujarat, western parts of Rajasthan, south Punjab and even south Haryana by October 30.

Earlier this month on October 12, a severe cyclonic storm Hudhud had battered the east coast of India. It had made landfall in Visakhapatnam with maximum sustained winds of upto 190 kmph. Hudhud had triggered massive rainfall in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha .. 

High Chance of Tropical Cyclone formation in the next 24 hrs in Arabain sea ..

61.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 61.1E, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-
      SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
      DEPICTS A FAIRLY BROAD AREA OF ORGANIZING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A
      WIDE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS SLOWLY BECOMING
      BETTER DEFINED. A 241705Z AMSU-B AND 241837Z TRMM (PARTIAL)
      MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK AND FRAGMENTED BANDING SHOWING
      CONSOLIDATION ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA WITH SOME
      CONVECTION AROUND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE LLCC. ADDITIONALLY, A
      241758Z PARTIAL ASCAT SHOWS SOME 25 KNOT WIND BARBS ALONG THE
      EXTREME NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A
      FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
      SHEAR OFFSET BY GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY UPPER LEVEL
      TROUGHING OVER NORTHERN INDIA. MULTIPLE GLOBAL MODELS ARE DEVELOPING
      THIS DISTURBANCE INTO A BROAD TROPICAL SYSTEM AFFECTING THE
      NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
      SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
      PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
      DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
      HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 242200) FOR
      FURTHER DETAILS.

#mithi - 5:43 pm, Cloudly here with some dark clouds , due to #Neelofar effect ...!! 

90-A : Still LOW ; disorganized and tracked W-N-W ... !!

90-A : This is the next Cyclone in the making at Arabian Sea about 1000 kms off the Indian Coast .. 

Tropical Threat looms in Arabian Sea ; India to oman at risk ...

An area of low pressure will become better organized in the coming days and will likely be a named tropical cyclone by this weekend.

A slow drift northward is expected through the weekend keeping the developing cyclone over warm ocean waters and relatively low wind shear.

These conditions will promote further development, and the cyclone will likely reach the equivalent of tropical storm then hurricane strength by early next week.

Weak steering flow across the Arabian Sea early next week will cause the storm to meander northward; however, it remains possible that the storm could take more of a westward track causing it to approach eastern Yemen or Oman.

If the storm continues northward and remains over the Arabian Sea early next week, interaction with a weak trough to the north will continue to pull the cyclone north to northeast with an eventual landfall in Pakistan or northwestern India. 

#mithi - 7:37 am, Cloudly here , more clouds coming to the city from S,W-S and drift to N,E-N .

Arabian Sea Host a Low Pressure ..

APPROXIMATELY 490 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED
      SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A LARGE AREA (ABOUT 800 NM IN DIAMETER) OF
      INTENSIVE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ILL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
      CIRCULATION CENTER. A 221657Z METOP-B MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK
      AND FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING BROADLY WRAPPING TOWARDS THE
      CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN
      A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
      SHEAR OFFSET BY EXCELLENT OUTFLOW, AS EVIDENT IN THE WATER VAPOR
      IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE
      FOR DEVELOPMENT. NAVGEM AND GFS MODELS FAVOR DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM,
      AFFECTING THE NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA IN THE EXTENDED TAUS. MAXIMUM
      SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
      LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
      THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
      HOURS IS LOW.

A Western Disturbance Clouds Over Firozepur Punjab

DATE:-  14 october 2014

Deep Depression intensifies into "Cyclone HUDHUD"

The Cyclonic Storm 'HUDHUD' over southeast Bay of Bengal moved west­northwestwards and lay centered at
1730 hours IST of 8th October, 2014 near lat.12.8°N  and long 91.0° E about 970 km southeast of Gopalpur and
1000 km east­southeast of Vishakhapatnam. The system would continue to move west­northwestwards, intensify
further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hours and into a very severe cyclonic storm during  subsequent
36 hours. The system would cross north Andhra Pradesh & south Odisha coasts between Visakhapatnam &
Gopalpur around noon of 12th October 2014.

sanjeevnaique

10:46am via Twitter for Android

It's heavily raining here in Margao in Goa at 11 am accompanied by lightning. Raining like Monsoon .. Kojagiri moon as seen from comba in Goa @naikap@weatherofindia pic.twitter.com/U9jeufqj2m  ...  

Super Typhoon Vongfong explodes, becomes most intense storm on Earth in 2014

Super Typhoon Vongfong has rapidly intensified over the past 24 hours, from the equivalent of a category two hurricane to a monster typhoon with 155 mph wind speeds, and an estimated central pressure of 908 millibars.
Based on satellite estimates of central pressure, Vongfong is now the most intense storm on Earth so far in 2014, and forecast models suggest it could rival the intensity of deadly Typhoon Haiyan of 2013 over the next 24 hours.
During the 24 hours between Monday and Tuesday mornings, Vongfong ballooned from wind speeds of 89 mph to 168 mph, based on satellite estimates. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center estimates that Typhoon Vongfong has maximum winds of 155 mph on Tuesday morning, though this is likely a conservative estimate.
Vongfong is now the sixth super typhoon of 2014, with winds speeds over 150 mph.

TROPICAL CYCLONE "HUDHUD" TO HIT ORISSA ON OCTOBER 12, 2014?

TROPICAL CYCLONE "HUDHUD" TO HIT ORISSA ON OCTOBER 12, 2014?